Three things that could impact rates this week

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Published Date 4/29/2024

Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are getting a little support today. The MBS market worsened by -4 bps last week. This was not enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced high volatility last week.

This week's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact rates this week. 1) The Fed, 2) Jobs and 3) Manufacturing.

1) The Fed: We will get the Fed's latest Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday. While the markets are not pricing in any rate change at this meeting, we will be keen to see if the tone of the FOMC statement and Fed Chair Powell's liver presser is more "hawkish." This is not one of their meetings where they release their Economic Projections.

2) Jobs: We will end the week with Big Jobs Friday but will have lots of job and wage related data all week long with Employment Cost Index, ADP, JOLTS, Challenger Job Cuts, Initial Weekly Jobless Claims, Unit Labor Costs, Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings.

3) Manufacturing: We will get the bellwether Chicago PMI and the national ISM Manufacturing and ISM Services this week. All will be closely watched.

This week's Potential Rate Volatility: High

This morning markets are getting some mild support. Volatility has started low but will pick up later in the week.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

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All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

CMG Financial is a registered trade name of CMG Mortgage, Inc., NMLS ID #1820 in most, but not all states. CMG Mortgage, Inc. is an equal housing lender. Licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act No. 4150025.; AK #AK1820; AZ #0903132; Colorado regulated by the Division of Real Estate; Georgia Residential Mortgage Licensee #15438; Hawaii Mortgage Loan Originator Company License No. HI-1820. Mortgage Servicer License No. MS068. Massachusetts Mortgage Lender License #MC1820 and Mortgage Broker License #MC1820; Mississippi Licensed Mortgage Company Licensed by the Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance; Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department; Licensed by the NJ Department of Banking and Insurance; Licensed Mortgage Banker - NYS Department of Financial Services; Ohio Mortgage Broker Act Mortgage Banker Exemption #MBMB.850204.000; Licensed by the Oregon Division of Financial Regulation #ML-3000; Rhode Island Licensed Lender #20142986LL; Registered Mortgage Banker with the Texas Department of Savings and Mortgage Lending, and Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission #MC-5521. Licensed by the Washington Department of Financial Institutions under the Consumer Loan Act No. CL-1820. CMG Mortgage, Inc. is licensed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Offer of credit is subject to credit approval. NMLS Consumer Access (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org)

Ricardo Manuel Torres

Area Sales Manager/ RMLO

NMLS: RMLO#255493

CMG HOME LOANS

200 S Sugar Rd Unit 1, Edinburg TX 78539

Company NMLS: 117371

Office: 956-271-0586

Cell: 956-739-5440

Email: ricardo@torres.net

Web: http://www.ricardomanueltorres.com